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12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/meeting-fiscal-deficit-target-a-herculean-task/articleshow/72301698.cms 1/14
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12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task
TNN | Updated: Nov 30, 2019, 12:24 IST
Highlights
Although marginally better than the near 104% of BE reading at the end of October 2018, tax collectionswere a major area of concern as tax revenue rose just 1.2% during April-October 2019The economic slowdown, which is reflecting in lower imports, meant that customs duty collections fellover 15% in October 2019 to Rs 64,459 crore
12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/meeting-fiscal-deficit-target-a-herculean-task/articleshow/72301698.cms 3/14
(Representative image)NEW DELHI: The pressure to meet the fiscal deficit target for 2019-20 intensified further on Friday after latestdata estimated nominal GDP growth at 6.1% in the September quarter, pegging the first half number at a shadeover 7%.
This is much lower than the 12% nominal GDP growth (including inflation) budgeted by finance ministerNirmala Sitharaman, when she estimated the fiscal deficit for the current financial year at 3.3% of GDP.
While most people look at the real GDP growth (net of inflation) number, for policymakers in North Block andcentral bank officers, the nominal growth numbers are crucial since that is the base to calculate the fiscaldeficit.
"The lower growth in GDP will further strain government finances. It could result in the central governmentbreaching the fiscal deficit target of 3.3% of GDP for 2019-20," said Care Ratings chief economist MadanSabnavis, adding that fiscal deficit for the year could be in the range of 4.1-4.3% of GDP.
12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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Already, finances are under strain with separate data released by the Controller General of Accounts on Fridayshowing that at Rs 7.2 lakh crore, fiscal deficit was 102.4% of the Budget estimate (BE) at the end of October.
Although marginally better than the near 104% of BE reading at the end of October 2018, tax collections werea major area of concern as tax revenue rose just 1.2% during April-October 2019.
The economic slowdown, which is reflecting in lower imports, meant that customs duty collections fell over15% in October 2019 to Rs 64,459 crore. It was already showing in the integrated GST collections, which havebeen declining for the past few months as companies were importing lower quantities of raw material andcapital goods used for production in factories.
12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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While the Rs 1.76-lakh-crore surplus transfer from the RBI and claims of higher than-budgeted disinvestmentreceipts may come to the government's rescue, even government officers are sceptical of the Centre meeting thedeficit target, without cutting down on expenditure.
Sitharaman has opted against commenting on numbers but has maintained that she will not wield the axe onmajor spending plans. The FM is currently reviewing the revised numbers shared by government departmentsin the run-up to the Budget, which is scheduled to be presented on February 1.
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12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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12/3/2019 Meeting fiscal deficit target a Herculean task - Times of India
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