2017 (Boom and Bust 2017)

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2017

/ / | 2017 | 1

, 2012 2016 | , 100 | (: Google Earth)

CoalSwarm ( ) CoalSwarm

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Global Coal Plant Tracker ( ) Global Coal Plant Tracker ( ) 1 , 2010 - (30 ) , CoalSwarm , (wiki) (longitudinal) , EndCoal.org

(Coal Swarm) | | |

2017

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(East Asia) GreenID, Greenpeace Akdeniz, CAN Europe, the Sierra Club, and

Kiko Network

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Copyright March 2017, CoalSwarm, Greenpeace USA, and Sierra Club

, EndCoal.org , , , (GPCT) 20 20 , EndCoal.org , (ted@tednace.com)

2017

/ / | 2017 | 3

2017 , , , ,

, 2016 , ( ), :

- 48% , 62% , 19% 2017 570 (GW) , 2016 1,090 GW ( 500 0.5 )

68 100

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2017

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2016 2017 1 - 48% , 62% , 19% 29%

300 13 (2016-2020) , 55 500 0.5

, , 13 13

2006 2016 86% , ,

, , 8 , 2015 36,667 2016 27,041 , , , (1) , (2) - (3) OECD

2017

/ / | 2017 | 5

: 30 (Platts) WEPP ( 2016) , 30 27,060

2. , 2017 (MW)

167,083 161,146 451,059 1,020,335

156,018 53,303 91,740 212,902

- 93,499 31,808 20,992 65,948

75,626 2,640 19,874 49,929

49,842 12,838 8,595 50,529

9,156 980 2,200 62,914

28 9,360 7,468 7,050 160,722

6,372 2,175 3,541 17,909

/ 1,295 582 1,000 296,300

/ 1,350 0 1,316 26,972

569,601 272,940 607,367 1,964,460 : 30 (Platts) WEPP ( 2016) , 30 27,060

1. , 2016 2017 (MW)

2016 2017 487,261 247,427 -49% - 434,180 223,241 -49% 168,230 99,635 -41% + - + 1,089,671 570,303 -48%

( 12 ) 92,212 51,294 -44% 338,458 269,643 -20% 230,125 608,477 164%

( 12 ) 108,029 76,910 -29% ( 12 ) 36,667 27,041 -26% 1,915,479 1,965,448 3%

2017

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3. , 30 , 2017 (MW) 134,480 145,573 280,053 441,749 921,227 () 128,715 48,168 176,883 82,495 211,562 66,852 2,640 69,492 17,654 16,362 38,450 7,820 46,270 8,385 27,399 29,580 15,177 44,757 2,800 13,394 17,343 4,256 21,599 0 44,078 17,240 0 17,240 0 0 15,685 275 15,960 3,935 250 10,418 4,860 15,278 5,310 190 8,760 5,917 14,677 1,160 33,417 6,290 7,940 14,230 1,500 40,513 9,293 4,476 13,769 926 7,282 5,820 4,245 10,065 1,500 27,761 8,706 180 8,886 700 48,435 7,306 600 7,906 600 5,457 5,700 1,400 7,100 250 706 6,480 0 6,480 1,200 980 5,130 0 5,130 6,455 160 800 4,000 4,800 7,600 17,407 3,904 432 4,336 0 600 1,470 2,400 3,870 0 0 0 3,600 3,600 0 10,008 3,520 0 3,520 0 0 3,500 0 3,500 500 2,065 3,040 135 3,175 1,200 370 2,020 1,100 3,120 660 53,060 2,900 0 2,900 320 4,294 2,272 375 2,647 375 5,101 2,600 0 2,600 1,620 0 2,200 0 2,200 1,000 0 19,127 7,371 26,498 17,473 472,382 569,601 272,940 842,541 607,367 1,964,460

: 30 (Platts) WEPP ( 2016) , 30 27,060

2017

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4. , 2017 (MW) 2016

35,240 55,500 () 6,600 12,725 5,815 350 2,220 270 3,750 0 2,400 0 2,000 0 2,380 0 1,671 0 1,000 0 660 0 600 0 375 0 300 0 30 0 65,041 68,845

5. , 20102016 MW %

548,081 663,654 45% 55% 178,040 531,597 25% 75% - 67,202 76,677 47% 53% 9,308 44,095 17% 83% 15,472 35,895 30% 70% 5,681 14,268 28% 72% 28 25,140 91,574 22% 78% 9,875 20,416 33% 67% / 17,902 27,791 39% 61% / 144 7,606 2% 98% 876,845 1,513,573 37% 63%

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2017

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2016: 13 ; 15 26 " " -

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2016: 15

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2017: 13 85 , " " ()

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2015 () 50% , 2016

2016 22 , 2015 142 85%

, 2016 2019 , 2016 , 2027

, 2007 71,121 2017 211,562 , ()

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2017

/ / | 2017 | 9

2016 - () , 12,725

13 31 ,

2017

/ / | 2017 | 10

()

2013 ( 50%) ( - )

() 2 2010 (UNFCCC) 2 " " 1.5 2016 (Climate Analytics) , " (Implications of the Paris Agreement for Coal Use in the Power Sector)" 1 (Global Coal Plant Tracker)

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, 2050 125 215 (Gt) , , , 2010 (37%) 271 Gt1 , 40

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, - 1,090 338 , 100 - ,

1 40 ; 40 CO2 : http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Estimating_carbon_ dioxide_emissions_from_coal_plants

2017

/ / | 2017 | 11

6. : , 2010-2016 (%) 521,014 644,794 45% 55% 173,075 503,372 26% 74% 182,756 365,407 33% 67% 876,845 1,513,573 37% 63%

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: ; : (Global Coal Plant Tracker ) (37% ); : GPCT ; : GPCT ( 40 )

2017

/ / | 2017 | 12

2. , 2017-2060, 2 ()

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3. , 2017-2060, 1.5 ()

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4. , 2017-2060, 2 ()

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5. , 2017-2060, 1.5 ()

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2017

/ / | 2017 | 13

6: (), 2017-2040, 2 () ()

: : 39 : 29

7: (), 2017-2040, 1.5 () ()

: : 39 : 29 : 20

8. , 2000-2016 ()

: Platts WEPP, 2000-2009; (Global Coal Plant Tracker) 2010-2016

2017

/ / | 2017 | 14

2 1.5 :

: 145,573 , 7,468 , OECD 13,183 103,419 ()

: : 55,500 , 12,725 , 350 270 ( 4 )

- : - 3 , 134,480 128,715 ( ) 2010 2016 ( 6) 33% 20% 61,422 , 245,686

( 2 ): 2027 15,000 , 2050 38,200 2040 7,089 ; OECD 2040 19,389 ,

19,172 2030 2060 ( 4 )

( 1.5 ): 2021 15,000 , 2027 25,000 2028 2040 61,914 OECD , 2030 : 12,147 OECD 33,238 , 29,716 2030 2050 ( 5 )

? , 2027 OECD 25 , , 8 15 , 100 6 , 2029 40 2030 ,

, 7 , 20 30 2028 ,

2017

/ / | 2017 | 15

: ( )

3 , 78,012 ( 29%) 307,108 ( 54%) , - 2010 33% , 67% , 6

- 114 2030 , , 20% 20% 61

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: 66,852 , , , , 13% -

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: 38,450 , 25,440 , 7,000

: , , 2016 " " 2016 VII , 20,000 , 2016

: OECD

2017

/ / | 2017 | 16

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: 2015 - 46 , , -

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2017

/ / | 2017 | 17

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