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  • 7/31/2019 S_Chatterjee ADB SDGs Presentation

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    LEARNING FROM THE MDG

    EXPERIENCE IN ASIA AND THEPACIFIC

    Shiladitya ChatterjeeRegional Advisor on the MDGs

    Asian Development Bank

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    Main Messages

    Despite progress social deprivations remain massiveand must remain central to future development

    efforts

    Wide disparities in attainments require moreattention to those falling behind

    Ensuring ownership of process critical

    Information and data deficiencies must be urgently

    tackled

    Omissions relating to all aspects of capabilitydeprivations must be addressed

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    Mixed performance on MDG targets

    Gender parity, tertiary

    Gender parity, secondary

    Gender parity, primary

    Primary completion rate

    Primary enrollment rate

    Underweight children

    Income poverty

    - 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220

    Access to improved sanitation, rural

    Access to improved sanitation, urban

    Access to clean water, rural

    Access to clean water, urban

    Child mortality rate

    Maternal mortality rate

    Women in non-agricultural wage employment

    Distance to goal achieved by ADB developing member countries since 1990, %

    Latest

    2015 Forecast

    2015 Target

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    Despite progress, massive deprivations continue

    Asia-Pacifics share of developing worlds deprived people (%)

    Without basic sanitation

    Infected with TB

    Living below $1.25/day

    Births without skilled attendance

    Underweight children

    Number (millions)

    Latest 2015

    Projected

    1,863 1,783

    83 69

    9 8

    871 701

    22 19

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Without safe drinking water

    Child deaths

    Out of primary school

    Maternal deaths

    Living with HIV

    466 367

    3 3

    15 11

    0.14 0.10

    7

    Source: UNESCAP, ADB and UNDP. Accelerating Equitable Achievement of the MDGs: Closing Gaps in Health and Nutrition

    Outcomes, Asia-Pacific Regional MDG Report . February 2012.

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    Implications Continuance of such large scale

    deprivations in Asia-Pacific and theworld imply Eliminating them must be at the heart of any

    Even if goals are uniform, indicators andtargets must reflect regional differences

    E.g. priority in education is quality notenrolment

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    Wide disparities exist in MDG

    attainments between countries

    103.00

    60

    80

    100

    0

    20

    40

    60

    East and

    Northeast

    Asia

    North and Central Asia South and Southwest Asia Southeast Asia

    IncomeIncomeIncomeIncome

    PovertyPovertyPovertyPoverty (%)

    0

    20

    40

    East and

    Northeast

    Asia

    North and Central Asia South and Southwest Asia Southeast Asia The Pacific

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    East and Northeast

    Asia

    North and Central Asia South and Southwest Asia Southeast Asia The

    Pacific

    InfantInfantInfantInfantMortalityMortalityMortalityMortality(per 1,000 live births)

    UnderweightUnderweightUnderweightUnderweightChildrenChildrenChildrenChildren(% of under age 5)

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    In many cases, disparities are widening

    Ealier

    Year

    Gini

    coefficient

    Later

    Year

    Gini

    coefficient

    1 GDP per capita (2000$) 1990 0.739 2010 0.753

    Gini indices of inter-country distribution of income and selected MDG

    indicators

    Indicator

    . per ay pover y . .

    3 Underweight children 1995 0.296 2005 0.454

    4 Under-5 mortality 1990 0.378 2009 0.387

    5 Maternal mortality 1990 0.579 2008 0.593

    6 TB incidence 1990 0.405 2008 0.447

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    Sources : Staff calculation based on the United Nations MDG database.

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    Central

    Eastern

    Child under 5 mortalit Ne al 2006 b develo ment re ion

    Country aggregates hide sub-nationalregional variations

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

    Mid-western

    Far-western

    Western

    Rate per 1,000 live births

    Sources : Ministry of Health and Population, New Era, and Macro International Inc,. 2007. Nepal

    Demographic and Health Survey 2006.8

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    Fourth

    Highest

    Country aggregates hide attainments

    by rich and poorChildren under 5 underweight , India 2005-06 (by wealth quintiles)

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60

    Lowest

    Second

    Middle

    Percent

    Sources : Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, 2009. Nutrition in India: National Family

    Health Survey (NFHS-3) India 2005-06.

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    Implications for SDGs

    Uniform effort and targets for all countries, ascurrently in the MDGs, cannot be the norm

    MDGs require reducing deprivations by half, two thirds etc.for all countries

    In countries falling behind, targets should be more

    Targets need disaggregation beyond nationallevel to address deprivations arising from

    Gender Sub-national differences

    Income and wealth differences

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    Insufficient ownership of MDGsProportion of DMCs with national MDG

    Reports Around 30 % ofAround 30 % ofAround 30 % ofAround 30 % of

    ADB developingADB developingADB developingADB developingmember countriesmember countriesmember countriesmember countries

    do not havedo not havedo not havedo not have

    ReportsReportsReportsReports

    Most do notMost do notMost do notMost do not

    integrate MDGs inintegrate MDGs inintegrate MDGs inintegrate MDGs in

    planning andplanning andplanning andplanning and

    budgetingbudgetingbudgetingbudgeting

    Sources : United Nations Development Group (http://www.undg.org/index.cfm?P=87). 12

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    Example: Health needs and actual

    expendituresShare of total health expenditures to GDP, 2009Share of total health expenditures to GDP, 2009Share of total health expenditures to GDP, 2009Share of total health expenditures to GDP, 2009

    13

    Sources : World Health Organization (2011). National Health Accounts . Geneva.

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    Lessons for SDGs Efforts to ensure greater ownership are

    critical for success

    Close involvement of appropriate government

    agencies and country stakeholders indeveloping the SDGs is essential

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    Data Challenges

    Child mortality

    Infant mortality

    Skilled birth attendance

    Antenatal care (at least once)

    TB incidenceTB prevalence

    Forest cover

    Protected area

    ODP substance consumption

    Access to clean water, urban

    Access to improved sanitation, urban

    Number of countries with data from 1990-2011, by indicator

    - 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

    HIV prevalence

    Income poverty

    Malnourished population

    Maternal mortality rate

    Reaching Last GradeUnderweight children

    Primary enrolment

    Gender tertiary

    Primary completion

    Women wage employment

    Access to clean water, rural

    Access to improved sanitation, rural

    Gender primaryGender secondary

    Only 1 year 2-3 years 4-9 years With 10 or more years 15

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    Number of MDG indicators with data from 1990-2011, by country

    Cambodia

    Georgia

    Indonesia

    Kyrgyzstan

    Mongolia

    Pakistan

    Sri Lanka

    Uzbekistan

    Data Challenges

    0 5 10 15 20 25

    Nauru

    Turkmenistan

    Cook Islands

    Afghanistan

    Marshall Islands

    Fiji

    Myanmar

    Samoa

    Vanuatu

    Malaysia

    Thailand

    With 1 year

    2-3 years

    4-9 years

    10 or more years

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    Implications

    MDGs have suffered from

    Low frequency of reporting of data in mostcountries Many countries without any data

    Insufficient translation of data intoinformation for policy planners and general

    public

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    Major omissions

    MDGs focus primarily on performance of some

    social sectors such as Nutrition, education, health, water and sanitation

    They leave out important aspects of capabilityepr va on a a . . en suc as

    voice, participation, and good governance

    elements of environment that impact on human

    welfare

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    Thank You

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