2015

I : $ & ($

I.1 ,.

I.2 3 .

I.3 68

; I.1 > @A

; I.2 B A C

II: D

II.1 ; D

II.2 ,.

II.3 B

; II.1 ,. . II .

; II.2 8 D B 3-

D

; II.3

III: I

III.1

III.2 I

III.3 I

; III.1 3 @N- B A

IV: I & . ,

IV.1 I

IV.2 & . ,

; ; 8

?

V: S

V.1 > & ,

V.2 8 D > ,.

V.3 T

V.4 > I

; V.1 ; WX; B >

A& Y B B ?

I .I .I .I .

2015-16 . A A B $-& & 8 . A ^ 2015-16 _ ,. A 2016 B 2016-17 B B 2015-16 3 & , B B , > I 8 B , 8 . I .

@

2015-16 (@-) . A A B $-& & @ 2015 .

B , . . d A

8 B - 8 A e ^ 8 B

f A , @A h8 . A ,. 3

&8 B 8 - A , . ij k:

II III B .

@ 2015 . > $-& I

,8 B I C, D .

> . C , m 8 .

C( I.1)

@, 2015-16 . A A o $pA D8 B @ 2015 .

B 8 . 1 D8 B

& ,. B B 3 I

B A , A Nf B

oq 8 > 3 A A,

i, B 3 B & . 8 B

|( I.1)

I.1:

2015 ( 2015)

( )* 1 $ 60: 2015-16

2 $ 63: 2015-16 2 $ 50: 2015-16 ** $`63 ( )

2015 2015 86 ()

$ & *** 2015 3.5 ( 2015 3.3 ( (

(

, / /0 4 6 4 6 __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

* 72:28 449 : I 8 . s A

> . S I ,8 B , ,

C & @ C, B . 3- B &,

, D m Y- @^k B

C , > i . f B 3 >

I A s 8 A i, B

D A d @ A B 8 $pA i . f . B D8 B v

& 8 B i . w B -

A @ h: > 6 D d

1 I 2015-16 . A A B 60 A. @ A A B 63 A. @

8 . B |

C d , yN-> B s Nf8 B

@ . C

B 8 3 ,. ,

, @ , 8 C () $-

& i, . @A 8

() > @A 8

6 s 8 Y-8 D

A , (; I.1) () @A @,{

8 (,p; A >, DA h >,

| A ) d , , ^

^ C

I.1

,. _ B A C & _8 d B ,.

8 B $-($ A N B

C > @A i,

- @^k - d B

, > @A A

B , ( s 2006) B $-($

A i, s } ( ^

X ; ) Nf II

Y A

A B C ()

() m , ~ (m e ) ,.

@ ,. () , ()

$($ @^k

, B, ,. 3 8 I& , C

. @^k B > D A d

@ $ ^ & B8 D

& A d B 8

ij ^ , > $ ,.

8 s , i, . I i m

, , & & 8 s $

@I $ . d

, , Y B ,. .

8 $ @^k

8 s ,

(Y) ^ C

> @A - @ . B $

C ^ ,. (,(-)_)

$ 1.6 2.2 I (,(-)) $ 0.8

1.4 8 . (Y

T ) 8 B 3 |

:

;, (2006), @; -, @ A

: i ^ . Y /06/80, $pA

f, ., (2015) A

dD s (Mimeo)

I.1 "

,. @I A D @ ,.

, , B C 2015 B

C m ^ | 8 B A A

A B ^ A ,. B 3

( I.2) C 41 A @ C2,

@ @ C ^ 8 ,.

8 o Y8, 8, p , . A

. .8 B - C ,. w (2013-14

) . m. ,. . 8 @WW C |

& ^ ,. . @I A A 10.5 @

10.8 @

$; ^ DA ,. B , 8

d 3 ( I.3)

I ^ 2015 | B . . ,. N

4.7 @ A C & _8 d C A& ,. N A @WW C k 2 C 2005 8 ,. 8 A |N

| 5000 8 B 16 8 B ^ |N B

.8 B yN - ,. I fI @^k @. C |

@8 () & C ^ ,. 8 B

@ , 8, B Nf & 8,

A Nf } 8 @ C

m& | B N ^ I8 .

.8 B ;8^ $8 D8 B D- .

; B ( I.4) A 3 B h

A B 3 ,.A A .

^ A B

N . ^ ; D ,

B 4.5 @ ;8^ @ I

2015-16 . A A B 5.5 @ A B 5.8 @

^ ,. s , o >

D m D8 . B , m D6

A i C N . ^ ; D 2016-17 B

5.5 @ 2016-17 . A B 4.8 @

(2.6-7.0 @ 70 @ > ) ( I.5)

^, 8 D8 B . >,

8, 8 B , 8 , D 8

S &8 @ (; I.2)

I.2 ) +

3 ,. A

I & 8 . s B

C , @ 8 C

16 B A C8 | ^ o s 8 D8 B

@I d A & , 2014 150 8@ ( )

. 13 -

30 8# -8 2014 B 3 8 B

,$ ( ) 2011-14 3

8 B , 3 60 & ,

f f

( 2014) B 2014 B , 3 & A,

& &

: s . > B A C ,.

3 C, ,. 3

8 D Y

:

$pA (2014), D , ;

I.2 - "

, D s @ . & &8

,.A I8 i d ( II, ; II.3)

$-& B & h Nf8 s Nf8

B ; B 3 , ^ . B

A ;8^ -Nf . @^k A C, N-,

@^k A A C, N A

, . B A C, C8 -f8 B o

@ 8 . @ . S i B

& 8 B 3 . A A,

8 i w yN , d B

C

2015-16 . A A . A A B Nf B

. A , ;8^ 14 @ C, s Nf8 B

, m& Nf s Nf8 .

8 @ d @ , B m Nf B

8 I , @ o I B &,

I B I8 @

, $pA D8 B v & C h ; >

C | B .

B | ( I.6)

C 2015 m& | B i ,8

^ B & ^, A A

@I , e I , B ( I.7)

| . w B S, d

-, 2015 s B8 m ^ | i > B

C ( I.2)

I.2: ! #

(

*

*+ ,

( *

/01

23 *

(

*

1: 2015-16 1: 2015-16 3: 2015 1: 2015-16

0 121.8 66.3 127.2 54.4

M 0

previous survey

138.2 73.2 126.8 56.4

% (--) -11.9 -9.4 0.2 -3.5

% ( ) -15.1 -8.8 -12.5 1.3

2015 | . A ,

I B - 3 I . A A 7.5 @

& ( I.8 I.3)

1.3: 4 6 + 9

()

2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

(Actual)

4 6 + *

.. (--) 5.3 5.8 4.8 ( ) 7.2 7.4 7.8

@

( )

7.2

0.2

6.6

9.4

-

7.4

1.5

6.7

9.4 30.5

8.0

3.0

7.2

9.8

31.0

( )) 30.0 28.9 29.8

(3) ) 10.8 12.0 13.5

9.0 12.5 14.2

( ) 6.9 6.3 6.0

( ) 4.0 3.9 3.6

( ) 7.50 7.00 6.75

( ) 4.00 4.00 4.00

91 ( ) 8.27 7.3 7.2

10 7.80 7.5 7.1

( ) 61 44 43

-0.6 -4.6 6.5

-1.1 -4.1 7.1

( ) -7.0 -6.5 -6.6

( ) -1.3 -1.1 -1.3

( ) 4.4 3.2 3.2

: 36th ( 2015) @: .

h:, @/I , $-($ | 8

3 @ . B 8 2015-16 B

7.4 @ dA .8 , 3 2015-16 . A

A B 7.0 @ . A B 7.6

@ , ^ 8 B 6 ( I.9) yN s S B 3 k. .

2016-17 B , B - , ^

8 B A A

> B 8 D8 B 3 8 B A .

C

I.3 02

B 3 ,. B C,

8 A @ 68 C 6

(>

. -

2015 T . 8 B v C

> I 8 B o > S &8 .

C B, 8

i 6 ; 8

^ , . . N

T . B @ D,

8 B, ; D B 20-30 8 . 3

3 B 10 8 . A ( I.10 I.11)

8 . f 8 - @ B

8 @ 3 @

2016-17 B ^, I @ S B &

@,{ D N @

@ .

. - "

> . i, B . & . i, .

B v & A @ > i, I

I> B d B A .

s 2013 . . $pA I 8 .

, > i, &